After a crash-filled Daytona 500, NASCAR moves to Atlanta’s weathered 1.54-mile asphalt trail.

As the surface allows for side-by-side racing in grooves the track is favored by most NASCAR drivers. Tires wear out setting a greater importance on rate.

Kevin Harvick won the first two phases at Atlanta, but a penalty allowed Brad Keselowski in for the checkered flag. Keselowski passed Kyle Larson for the lead with six laps to go for his first win of 2017.

All eyes will be on Georgia native Chase Elliott this weekend has he seems to catch his first Cup Series win at his hometown track. Back at the No. 9 car, a number made famous by his Hall of Fame father Bill, Chase does have a fair shot to win based on last year’s figures.

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Elliott listed two second-place finishes, seven top fives, and nine top-10s at 1.5-mile tracks in 2017. The Dawsonville, Ga., native also averaged the third-best average end of Cup drivers (9.82) on 1.5-mile monitors this past year.

Before Keselowski’s win Elliott’s teammate Jimmie Johnson was victorious in two Atlanta races that are consecutive. Johnson, who owns a Cup Series record 28 wins on 1.5-mile paths in his profession, has five wins, 14 top fives together with a series-best driver evaluation of 105.4 at Atlanta.

While Johnson has become the older king of 1.5-mile tracks, our pick to win Sunday is reigning champion Martin Truex Jr., that has been nearly unbeatable at intermediate ovals.

Truex won seven of those 11 1.5-mile speedway races last year with nine top fives for an average end of 2.5. He’s still searching for his first win in Atlanta but we expect him to get the job done Sunday (if the rain stays off) despite starting from the back of the field.

Read more: fchasental.com